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WHIRLPOOL CORP /DE/ (WHR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 showed mixed results: net sales rose sequentially to $4.14B from $3.99B but declined 18.7% YoY on Europe divestiture; organic net sales grew 1.9% YoY, led by Small Domestic Appliances (SDA) and international businesses . Ongoing EBIT margin expanded to 6.0% (+80 bps YoY; +20 bps QoQ), while GAAP EPS swung to a loss of $(7.10) on a $381M non‑cash Maytag trademark impairment .
  • Management issued initial 2025 guidance: ~$15.8B net sales (~3% like‑for‑like growth), ~6.8% ongoing EBIT margin, ~$10.00 ongoing EPS, ~$1.0B operating cash flow, and $500–$600M free cash flow, with a normalized 20–25% GAAP/non‑GAAP tax rate; WHR also plans ~$700M debt paydown and intends to reduce Whirlpool of India stake to ~20% (expected $550–$600M net cash) .
  • What drove Q4: negative price/mix tied to a sizable retail destock in North America offset otherwise positive actions (pricing, cost takeout); strong sell‑through, international growth, and SDA momentum supported organic growth; marketing investments pressured SDA margin .
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: disciplined promo/pricing and >100 new launches (incl. premium KitchenAid/JennAir) to improve mix, plus deleveraging ($700M paydown) and India monetization; macro/tariff path remains an uncertainty not included in guidance .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Structural execution: ~$(300)M net cost takeout delivered in 2024; WHR targets >$200M more in 2025, underpinning 100–150 bps margin expansion outlook .
    • International and SDA resilience: Organic net sales +1.9% YoY in Q4, with MDA Latin America (+7.3% ex‑FX), MDA Asia (+8.8% ex‑FX), and SDA (+6.4% ex‑FX) leading; LatAm Q4 EBIT margin rose 240 bps YoY to 7.6% .
    • Product and mix setup: Over 100 new products in 2025 and >30% transition in North America; premium KitchenAid refresh (1st in a decade) and JennAir induction downdraft expected to drive mix/pricing benefits over the year .
  • What Went Wrong

    • North America price/mix: A “sizable” one‑time retail destock and Black Friday sell‑out incentives drove unfavorable Q4 price/mix and below‑plan MDA NA EBIT margin (6.7%) .
    • GAAP optics: $381M non‑cash Maytag trademark impairment and a negative GAAP tax rate drove Q4 GAAP EPS to $(7.10) and GAAP net margin to (9.5)%; ongoing results better align with operations .
    • SDA margin trade‑off: Marketing investments for new SDA launches pressured Q4 SDA EBIT margin to 12.5% (down 130 bps YoY), a deliberate spend to seed category growth .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$5,088 $3,993 $4,136
Organic Net Sales ($USD Millions)$4,254 $4,069 $4,174
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$8.90 $2.00 $(7.10)
Ongoing EPS ($)$3.85 $3.43 $4.57
GAAP Net Earnings Margin (%)9.7% 2.7% (9.5)%
Ongoing EBIT Margin (%)5.2% 5.8% 6.0%

Segment performance (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023):

SegmentMetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
MDA North AmericaNet Sales ($M)$2,632 $2,595
EBIT ($M)$213 $173
EBIT Margin (%)8.1% 6.7%
MDA Latin AmericaNet Sales ($M)$958 $920
EBIT ($M)$50 $70
EBIT Margin (%)5.2% 7.6%
MDA AsiaNet Sales ($M)$221 $238
EBIT ($M)$(1) $3
EBIT Margin (%)(0.5)% 1.2%
SDA GlobalNet Sales ($M)$363 $384
EBIT ($M)$50 $48
EBIT Margin (%)13.8% 12.5%

KPIs and cash/returns:

KPIFY 2023FY 2024Notes
Cash from Ops ($M)$915 $835 Includes Europe transaction impacts in 2024
Free Cash Flow ($M)$366 $385 2025 outlook: $500–$600M
Debt Paydown ($M)$500Management commentary; balance sheet focus
Dividends ($/share)$7.00 $7.00 Board declared $1.75 for Mar 15, 2025

Why results moved:

  • GAAP loss driven by Maytag trademark impairment ($381M) and an unusual tax rate; ongoing EPS benefited from adjusted (non‑GAAP) tax rate (Q4 adjusted rate of (53.8)%) .
  • North America price/mix deteriorated on a sizable retailer destock and strong sell‑through tied to election‑period incentives; cost actions and pricing elsewhere (LatAm) supported margins .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY 2025~$15.8B New
Ongoing EBIT MarginFY 2025~6.8% New
GAAP EPSFY 2025~$8.75 New
Ongoing EPSFY 2025~$10.00 New
GAAP & Adj. Tax RateFY 202520–25% New
Cash from OpsFY 2025~$1.0B New
Free Cash FlowFY 2025$500–$600M New
Debt PaydownFY 2025~$700M New
India Stake Sale (net cash)FY 2025$550–$600M expected New
MDA North America EBIT MarginFY 2025~7.5% New
MDA Latin America EBIT MarginFY 2025~7.5% New
MDA Asia EBIT MarginFY 2025~6% (ex‑India 2H) New
SDA Global EBIT MarginFY 2025~15% New
DividendQ1 2025$1.75/share payable Mar 15, 2025 New

Notes: 2025 outlook based on like‑for‑like 2024 baseline (ex‑Q1 Europe, ex‑2H India) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Pricing and PromotionsSequential margin expansion from MDA NA promotional pricing actions; ongoing margin progress guided for 2024 .Further reduction in promo depth announced; price/mix +75 bps in 2025 guidance; Q4 impacted by retailer destock and sell‑out incentives .Improving, but destock created Q4 noise.
Cost TakeoutOn track for $300–$400M 2024; reaffirmed $300M and margin focus .~$300M delivered in 2024; >$200M targeted in 2025 (125 bps margin benefit) .Continuing positive driver.
Product/MixQ2/Q3 highlighted new launches and SDA momentum .>100 launches in 2025; >30% NA transition; KitchenAid full redesign; JennAir induction downdraft; mix benefit accrues through 2025 with transition costs .Accelerating.
North America Retail/InventorySequential improvement in Q3 NA margin; pricing actions effective .Sizable one‑time retail destock pressured Q4 price/mix and NA margin; sell‑through strong post‑election .One‑time headwind in Q4; reset for 2025.
Housing/MacroPositioned for eventual U.S. housing recovery .2025 assumes flat industry; no discretionary rebound or tariff impacts embedded .Cautious/stable.
CurrencyNoted FX in segment lines .BRL weakness −50 bps expected to margin in 2025 .Mild headwind.
Tariffs/Trade PolicyNo tariff scenario included; >80% U.S. production supports relative positioning .Watch item.
SDA CategoryQ2/Q3 double‑digit growth; strength in DTC .Continued growth; margin impacted by marketing investments to seed new categories .Growth with deliberate margin investment.
Portfolio/Capital AllocationEurope transaction closing noted .India stake reduction plan; ~$700M 2025 debt paydown; IG rating focus .Balance sheet de‑risking.

Management Commentary

  • “In 2024, we continued to make progress... delivered on our cost take out commitment of $300 million... In 2025, we expect to deliver more than $200 million of cost take out and position our business for the eventual U.S. housing recovery.” — Marc Bitzer, CEO .
  • “We are proud of the actions we took to strengthen our balance sheet, paying down $500 million in debt... In 2025... anticipated India transaction will maximize shareholder value and further strengthen our balance sheet.” — Jim Peters, CFO .
  • “In the U.S., we have just recently announced a further reduction in the depth of our promotional pricing program... expected to help drive favorable price and mix in 2025.” — Marc Bitzer .
  • “We do not anticipate a sudden improvement... we expect only a slow and gradual improvement in 2025... we will stay very disciplined in our cost controls.” — Marc Bitzer .

Q&A Highlights

  • Retail destock and price/mix: Q4 North America margin was below expectations due to a sizable retailer destock and sell‑out incentives; management called it one‑time and now “behind us,” with strong December sell‑through .
  • Pricing trajectory: Further reductions in promotional depth and 2025 price/mix uplift (~75 bps) expected; mix benefit builds through the year with KitchenAid (Q3 launch timing) and JennAir; transition costs offset some benefits intra‑year .
  • Production/inventory: WHR adjusted Q4 production to avoid inventory build; enters 2025 with low inventories and plans to keep production matched to sales .
  • Tariffs sensitivity: No tariffs included in guidance; >80% of U.S. sales are U.S.‑produced, implying relative insulation vs import‑heavy peers; management will revise if policy changes materialize .
  • India monetization and leverage: Expected $550–$600M net cash; gross debt paydown ~$700M in 2025; deconsolidation removes ~$300M India cash from reported net cash, which had limited parent‑level availability .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 and comparative periods were unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits; therefore, we do not present beat/miss vs consensus and will update when available. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ) when accessible.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Reset complete; execution focus: Portfolio actions (Europe closed; India planned) plus structural cost takeout (> $200M in 2025) underpin ~100–150 bps margin expansion despite flat industry assumptions .
  • Mix/pricing catalysts: Over 100 product launches (premium emphasis) and reduced promotional depth should lift price/mix through 2025; transition costs keep near‑term benefits modest but build over the year .
  • Balance sheet de‑risking: ~$700M debt paydown planned and India proceeds ($550–$600M) point to deleveraging; investment‑grade rating remains a priority .
  • North America watch‑items: Retail destock appears one‑time; monitor promo discipline, KitchenAid/JennAir adoption, and any discretionary recovery for upside vs the cautious base case .
  • Macro/policy optionality: No housing rebound, raw material deflation, or tariffs are embedded in guidance; any positive developments could be incremental, while tariffs would require reassessment .
  • Cash generation: FY25 free cash flow outlook of $500–$600M with ~$1.0B CFOA supports dividend and debt reduction; Board declared $1.75 dividend for March 2025 .

Appendix: Additional Data and Reconciliations

  • Q4 2024 Ongoing EPS of $4.57 reflects adjustments including $381M Maytag impairment, M&A impacts, equity method investee restructuring, and a favorable adjusted tax rate (non‑GAAP); ongoing EBIT margin 6.0% .
  • FY 2024 free cash flow was $385M; 2025 FCF outlook $500–$600M; operating cash flow outlook ~$1.0B .

Sources: Whirlpool Q4 2024 press release and 8‑K (Jan 29, 2025) ; Q4 2024 earnings call (Jan 30, 2025) ; Q3 2024 press release (Oct 23, 2024) ; Q2 2024 press release (Jul 24, 2024) ; Dividend press release (Feb 18, 2025) .